Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.002412 0.002553 0.002704 0.002879 0.003075 0.003292 0.003551
2025-04-27 0.002202 0.002396 0.002613 0.002880 0.003203 0.003589 0.004098
2025-05-04 0.002096 0.002329 0.002603 0.002957 0.003413 0.004003 0.004863
2025-05-11 0.001980 0.002234 0.002542 0.002955 0.003515 0.004288 0.005523
2025-05-18 0.001927 0.002207 0.002556 0.003043 0.003740 0.004776 0.006631
2025-05-25 0.001842 0.002129 0.002496 0.003022 0.003804 0.005032 0.007450
2025-06-01 0.001755 0.002044 0.002417 0.002964 0.003801 0.005177 0.008114
2025-06-08 0.001723 0.002026 0.002426 0.003029 0.003993 0.005691 0.009845
2025-06-15 0.001686 0.001999 0.002420 0.003070 0.004150 0.006181 0.011930
2025-06-22 0.001628 0.001939 0.002362 0.003025 0.004155 0.006370 0.013330
2025-06-29 0.001571 0.001878 0.002300 0.002969 0.004132 0.006496 0.014677
2025-07-06 0.001524 0.001830 0.002252 0.002932 0.004137 0.006683 0.016560
2025-07-13 0.001441 0.001730 0.002128 0.002769 0.003904 0.006296 0.015508
2025-07-20 0.001408 0.001698 0.002104 0.002767 0.003974 0.006658 0.018986
2025-07-27 0.001397 0.001697 0.002123 0.002837 0.004192 0.007481 0.029037
2025-08-03 0.001367 0.001668 0.002101 0.002834 0.004267 0.007950 0.041201
2025-08-10 0.001360 0.001671 0.002125 0.002916 0.004529 0.009143 0.123098
2025-08-17 0.001330 0.001640 0.002095 0.002896 0.004568 0.009615 0.574798
2025-08-24 0.001295 0.001599 0.002047 0.002842 0.004522 0.009753 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001286 0.001597 0.002061 0.002902 0.004752 0.011187 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001273 0.001588 0.002064 0.002940 0.004937 0.012649 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001245 0.001555 0.002026 0.002899 0.004913 0.013022 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001216 0.001521 0.001984 0.002847 0.004857 0.013181 NaN